What are the effects of payment source?


Population Intervention Comparison Outcome & results
Affordable Care Act
Ann Int Med 2016
PMID: 27088438


Am J Public Health 2018
PMID: 29346003
Population in 'expansion states' aged 19 to 64 years with family incomes below 138% of the federal poverty level

Population in 'expansion states'
Medicaid Expansion of the Affordable Care Act

Medicaid Expansion of the Affordable Care Act
U.S. citizens in 'non-expansion states' aged 19 to 64 years with family incomes below 138% of the federal poverty level

Population in 'non-expansion states'
• Increased health insurance by 7.4% and Medicaid ny 10.5%
• Increased hospital and office vists
• Increased dxes of diabetes (5.2%) and hypercholesterol (5.7%)

Infant mortality rate decline was greater in Medicaid expansion states
Massachusetts Health Care Reform
Ann Int Med 2014
PMID: 24798521
Adults aged 20 to 64 years in Massachusetts and control group counties Massachusetts health care reform of 2006: near-universal insurance coverage Similar counties in nonreform states • All-cause mortality drop (absolute decrease of 8.2 deaths per 100,000 adults P = 0.003). Benefit greater in poorer counties.
• NNT = ~ 830 adults to prevent 1 death/year
Oregon Medicaid
N Engl J Med 2013
PMID23635051
Low-income, uninsured, able-bodied adults who are not eligible for other public insurance (e.g. Medicare) Randomized via lottery to 2008 Medicaid expansion No Medicaid Over two years follow-up:
• No improvement in measured health, but
• Depression reduced
• Diabetes detection and rx improved

Regarding costs:
• Increased use of health care services if Medicaid given
• Less financial strain
RAND HIE
JAMA, 1983
PMID: 6834620 and http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB9174.html
Dayton families with incomes < $25,000 (1973 dollars) and not eligible for other public insurance (e.g. Medicare) Random assignment to insurance No insurance • Improved care of HTN, vision, dental, serious symptoms.
• Less worry about health
• Fewer restricted activity days (including time spent seeking medical care)

Regarding costs:
•  More spent on health care if no cost sharing by the patient.
• Less spent on care if cost-sharing and patients had to pay.